Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2055.564767 2242.486284 2433.668143 2643.545458 2867.182758 3098.069248 3354.168097
2024-10-06 1789.920121 2068.678642 2366.211648 2706.284594 3083.058925 3486.560185 3950.180445
2024-10-13 1591.316566 1921.537529 2285.464423 2713.946522 3202.199173 3738.810742 4370.664640
2024-10-20 1440.865897 1806.177701 2219.823366 2719.011272 3301.078463 3954.323250 4738.681158
2024-10-27 1266.715703 1645.961123 2086.598085 2630.822380 3279.079304 4020.670591 4926.983469
2024-11-03 1210.870904 1619.801718 2104.866589 2715.070096 3454.167689 4312.327191 5375.439604
2024-11-10 1146.365274 1576.786241 2097.492529 2763.951443 3583.852578 4548.974324 5759.562774
2024-11-17 1065.604099 1507.137310 2051.855084 2761.015220 3646.800444 4703.397887 6044.658403
2024-11-24 981.133024 1426.839967 1987.499334 2729.715112 3670.588291 4807.353491 6266.995674
2024-12-01 930.744210 1387.513327 1972.050498 2757.287718 3765.551864 4997.252909 6594.379180
2024-12-08 873.721247 1335.588968 1936.966206 2756.707648 3822.725218 5139.173634 6862.620821
2024-12-15 842.311023 1316.364925 1943.043388 2808.185062 3945.636505 5363.419246 7234.755432
2024-12-22 787.615473 1262.728764 1901.844655 2797.002229 3988.584155 5489.430600 7488.570784
2024-12-29 764.359028 1252.164794 1918.025240 2861.937801 4131.355487 5744.024777 7908.213480
2025-01-05 723.330609 1213.490866 1893.392916 2869.926455 4197.841235 5900.469932 8203.714947
2025-01-12 684.592449 1175.853025 1868.123777 2875.215028 4259.454767 6050.151245 8491.154676
2025-01-19 618.217188 1093.052442 1775.220123 2783.110536 4186.444420 6021.238788 8545.241699
2025-01-26 611.012554 1099.944592 1810.797748 2871.099484 4359.063443 6317.077559 9025.427555
2025-02-02 593.467179 1089.686171 1820.602999 2922.139342 4481.155086 6546.925132 9421.201569
2025-02-09 561.850213 1055.474984 1793.556143 2919.073709 4527.465260 6675.405370 9683.887740
2025-02-16 524.394342 1009.789131 1747.377698 2886.392122 4530.817567 6745.104569 9868.208760
2025-02-23 505.229378 992.881504 1743.749669 2915.181876 4620.438863 6931.931072 10210.369118
2025-03-02 479.883381 964.296224 1720.971846 2914.576228 4667.606438 7060.795217 10475.349415